Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. Out of. I don't know where to begin! In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. Which ones are more politically competitive? Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. #V. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. Here's the count: 2020: Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. Like around the country, we're seeing. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. All Rights Reserved. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Iapologize.). With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Dec. 10, 2020. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. But. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Election results provided by the Associated Press. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. Thats a point that they made. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. In September, just eight states had. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. If . So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Tennessee. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? 2020 Electoral Map Results. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. More than a . Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Success! If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. The Hill . This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. There was an error processing your request. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. Republican Electoral votes invalidated. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Is Missouri a red state? 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. I think it's the state to watch. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . It is not a blue state or a red state. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. But I've got news for them, too. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. You have to beware with these reports, though. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. Sorry Marc. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Anita What do you want to know? How red or blue is your state? '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. All three of those states were very close in both elections. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . Same caution about borders applies. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. All Rights Reserved. Good evening from Philadelphia! Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. It feels like the new Florida. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Is Wisconsin a red state? Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Manage Settings One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. [41][note 1][42]. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Next is Alabama at No. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Press Enter to view state-level map. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. The key swing region is the. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. He held his own in . Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Not one! If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. because red and blue state designations . Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively).

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